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How Accurate was the California Online Poker Survey
Sunday June 25,2016 : HOW ACCURATE WAS THE CALIFORNIA ONLINE POKER LEGALISATION SURVEY? (Update)
Doubts cast on study that purported to show Californians dont want legalised online poker.
The online publication Flushdraw took a closer look at the recently released Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3) poll, which purported to show that Californians are not in favour of legalised online poker, and expressed reservations over the accuracy of the findings.
InfoPowa readers will recall that the FM3 study was commissioned by the anti-legalisation tribal alliance led by the Pechanga and Agua Caliente tribes, which have for years managed to derail repeated attempts to legislate online poker into the California law books.
The survey results were released as another legalisation attempt made its way through the state legislature and were clearly intended to influence lawmakers considering the latest proposals.
Flushdraw suspects that the results of the survey may have been skewed by an "oversample" taken in a specific area and added to the original findings, and quotes directly from the FM3 summary:
“FM3 conducted a telephone survey of a random sample of 855 likely November 2016 voters in California over a five-day period, June 2-6, 2016, and an oversample of 350 Central Valley voters for a total sample of 1,205. The survey interview took 21.7 minutes on average to complete. The questionnaire was translated into Spanish.”
The publication alleges that oversamples are most commonly used by polling companies to expand a survey response by overlaying the original study with a slew of respondents who are more likely to give the opinions the poll seeks to confirm.
It points out that the additional 350 oversample was derived from California’s Central Valley, where a member of the Pechanga coalition happens to have a land casino.
In addition, it appears that the oversample may have been tainted by a reference in the statements to respondents to a well-worn anti-online poker legalisation statement of questionable accuracy from local Senator Dianne Feinstein.
61 percent of California voters were more inclined to oppose online poker legislation when they heard the statement suggested by pollsters:
“U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein strongly opposes legislation authorizing online poker in California, saying the FBI has concluded that online casinos are vulnerable to a wide array of criminal schemes including money laundering by transnational organized crime groups.”
Feinsteins name will be well known to legalisation campaigners; she has consistently shown her anti-online gambling bent, supporting the Restoration of Americas Wire Act, and featuring prominently in campaigns by Coalition to Stop Internet Gambling.
Thus far, FM3 has not responded to Flushdraws criticism, but its explanation will be read with interest when it becomes available.
Americas Card Room Online Super Series Starts Now -
The OSS Cub3d is Americas Cardroom’s 3-part tournament series. It features the Mini Online Super Series (MOSS), the now-underway Online Super Series (OSS), and the upcoming Bigger Online Super Series (BOSS).
New Quick Seat feature at Ignition Poker -
New Quick Seat feature at Ignition Poker.In order to ensure our poker players’ user experience is even more seamless, we’ve introduced a new feature in our poker software called Quick Seat for both Ignition Poker.
Finnish people prefer the government to run the casinos -
Nordic countries have been, historically, the main markets for the online casino operators. The reasons for this are rather clear - these countries are very cold and people simply prefer to stay home and gamble than go outside to visit a casino.
NBA Odds: Chalk-Heavy Warriors Host Portland for Game 2 -
The Golden State Warriors needed a strong fourth quarter to put away the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. But they still didn’t cover as 15-point home favourites in a 121-109 victory. Can they do better this Wednesday (10:30 PM ET, TNT) in Game 2 of their first-round playoff series?
Caesar’s Triumph Slot Launches -
Caesar’s Triumph is new slot at Bovada that features the Roman dictator in all his glory. The action takes place on five reels where you’ll find 20 paylines and plenty of ways to spin your way to victory.
NHL Odds: Pacific Division Foes Face Off in Edmonton -
The Edmonton Oilers will attempt to defend their home ice advantage this Friday (10:30 PM ET on Sportsnet) against the San Jose Sharks. The Oilers (47-26-9) finished second in the Pacific, while the Sharks (46-29-7) finished third, but only four points behind their First Round foes.
Bingo Cataratas Offers Unique Spin on Classic bingo -
Bingo Cataratas (Spanish for waterfalls) is changing the way people think about bingo according to Bovada. Just because bingo is a classic with a huge following, doesn’t mean it can’t be spiced up with a fresh new format. Bingo Cataratas has the basic structure of bingo, but also has an “extra ball” feature and a bonus mini game.
NBA Odds: Hawks-Pacers in Regular-Season Finale -
Depending on the results of Game No. 81, Wednesday’s regular-season finale (8 PM ET, ESPN) between the Atlanta Hawks and Indiana Pacers could decide whether Indiana reaches the postseason. It could also give the Pacers a higher seed than Atlanta in the Eastern Conference playoffs.
Microgaming April 2017 new games -
Cool Buck and Mega Money Multiplier go live on Wednesday 5 April 2017. Both are available to Microgaming and Quickfire operators on desktop and mobile and come with in-game achievements and free games.
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