Friday June 7,2013 : Home Favorites Hard To Stay Away From Heading In To Weekend
One of the first rules that new players learn when they first start wagering on baseball is that it usually doesn’t make sense to bet too heavily on the home favorites. Laying down $600 on a heavy home favorite for the chance to win $300 means that for every two wrong choices you make, you have to get two more right just to break even, and that could lead to a slippery slope where you are losing more money than you are making. However, there are certain instances when it makes to much sense not to bet on a home favorite, especially when you consider the percentages that some teams are hitting at. The home favorites are hitting just under 59-percent of the time so far this season, and there are a couple of home teams in particular to keep an eye on heading in to the weekend.
The Boston Red Sox will head the list of home favorites worth investing in this weekend when they host the Los Angeles Angels. The Angels have been one of the best teams to bet against through the first couple of months of the season thanks to their strong reputation and inability to win games, and they have lost seven of their previous 10 games heading in to this weekend series. The Red Sox meanwhile have benefited from the highest-scoring offense in the majors, something that few would have predicted we would see from this team this season. Boston will also benefit from the red-hot Clay Buchholz being on the mound for Saturday’s contest, and with the Angels forced to counter with Jerome Williams a Red Sox win will be as close to a lock as there can be.
Another team that has really heated up of late and could be an excellent bet at home is the Tampa Bay Rays, which have closed in on the second-place Baltimore Orioles ahead of their weekend series with eight wins in their previous 10 games. The Rays are streaking right now, and they will be playing with a sense of urgency against one of the teams they are chasing in the standings. Playing Baltimore should mean that Tampa Bay is available at some solid value, and the Sunday match up looks particularly favorable with the 8-1 Matt Moore getting the call opposite Chris Tillman for the Orioles.
While the home team has hit at close to 59-percent this season, they have struggled against the spread at just 46-percent. It may not make sense to bet on the home favorites the majority of the time, and the ATS numbers suggest it’s a bad idea to bet them on anything more than the money line, but this weekend features a couple of streaking home teams that are available at good value and might be worth investing in. For all of the latest MLB news and betting odds, be sure to check out the best sports betting sites.